DDM Analysis: UANG.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$431.44 - $615.56	$521.86
Multi-Stage	$644.46 - $709.16	$676.18
Blended Fair Value	$599.02
Current Price	$3,460.00
Upside	-82.69%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	8.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.53%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	76,958.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)	76,958.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	15,391.77	9,619.86	5,771.91
Cash Retained (M)	76,958.80	76,958.80	76,958.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-15,391.77	-9,619.86	-5,771.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)	61,567.03	67,338.94	71,186.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,210.00	1,210.00	1,210.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	50.88	55.65	58.83
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	50.88	55.65	58.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend	50.88	55.65	58.83
WACC / Discount Rate	9.56%	9.56%	9.56%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$431.44	$521.86	$615.56
Upside / Downside	-87.53%	-84.92%	-82.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	76,958.86	76,189.27	75,427.37	74,673.10	73,926.37	73,187.11	75,382.72
Payout Ratio	0.00%	18.00%	36.00%	54.00%	72.00%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.06	13,714.11	27,153.89	40,323.50	53,227.00	65,868.39	69,729.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.56%	9.56%	9.56%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	12,391.29	12,517.73	12,644.17
Year 2 PV (M)	22,168.14	22,622.86	23,082.20
Year 3 PV (M)	29,744.33	30,664.19	31,602.83
Year 4 PV (M)	35,475.34	36,945.63	38,461.15
Year 5 PV (M)	39,666.18	41,731.69	43,882.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)	640,349.02	673,693.48	708,412.76
Equity Value (M)	779,794.30	818,175.59	858,085.47
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,210.00	1,210.00	1,210.00
Fair Value	$644.46	$676.18	$709.16
Upside / Downside	-81.37%	-80.46%	-79.50%

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PT Pakuan, Tbk (UANG.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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