DDM Analysis: 603890.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$53.39 - $137.96	$129.29
Multi-Stage	$19.62 - $21.48	$20.53
Blended Fair Value	$74.91
Current Price	$13.89
Upside	439.29%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-15.41%	1.96%	0.06	0.17	0.16	0.23	0.17	0.15	0.09	0.02	0.08	0.06
YoY Growth	-	-	-61.39%	6.12%	-31.90%	38.44%	12.14%	60.78%	430.21%	-79.11%	47.60%	6.62%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.53%	1.67%	1.64%	2.31%	1.25%	1.59%	1.20%	0.14%	0.67%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	301.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	80.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)	221.03

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	60.28	37.67	22.60
Cash Retained (M)	221.03	221.03	221.03
(-) Cash Required (M)	-60.28	-37.67	-22.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)	160.76	183.36	198.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	434.46	434.46	434.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.37	0.42	0.46
LTM Dividend per Share	0.18	0.18	0.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.37	0.42	0.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.55	0.61	0.64
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$53.39	$129.29	$137.96
Upside / Downside	284.37%	830.79%	893.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	301.38	320.97	341.83	364.05	387.72	412.92	425.31
Payout Ratio	26.66%	39.33%	52.00%	64.66%	77.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	80.35	126.23	177.74	235.41	299.83	371.63	393.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	117.31	118.42	119.53
Year 2 PV (M)	153.50	156.42	159.37
Year 3 PV (M)	188.93	194.35	199.88
Year 4 PV (M)	223.62	232.22	241.07
Year 5 PV (M)	257.57	270.02	282.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,581.36	7,947.54	8,327.74
Equity Value (M)	8,522.29	8,918.97	9,330.52
Shares Outstanding (M)	434.46	434.46	434.46
Fair Value	$19.62	$20.53	$21.48
Upside / Downside	41.22%	47.80%	54.62%

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Suzhou Chunqiu Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (603890.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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