Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PEG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.46 - $55.27$45.31
Multi-Stage$65.82 - $72.22$68.96
Blended Fair Value$57.14
Current Price$83.46
Upside-31.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.71%4.81%2.392.272.162.061.981.901.821.741.661.58
YoY Growth--5.19%5.38%4.66%4.04%4.32%4.40%4.60%4.82%5.20%5.48%
Dividend Yield--2.90%3.41%3.45%2.94%3.29%4.23%3.11%3.46%3.74%3.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,082.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,242.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)840.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)416.40260.25156.15
Cash Retained (M)840.00840.00840.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-416.40-260.25-156.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)423.60579.75683.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)500.25500.25500.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.851.161.37
LTM Dividend per Share2.482.482.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.851.161.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.333.643.85
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate-1.22%-0.22%0.78%
Fair Value$36.46$45.31$55.27
Upside / Downside-56.31%-45.71%-33.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,082.002,077.322,072.662,068.002,063.352,058.722,120.48
Payout Ratio59.65%65.72%71.79%77.86%83.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,242.001,365.291,488.011,610.181,731.791,852.841,961.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate-1.22%-0.22%0.78%
Year 1 PV (M)1,253.871,266.561,279.26
Year 2 PV (M)1,255.061,280.601,306.40
Year 3 PV (M)1,247.271,285.541,324.58
Year 4 PV (M)1,232.001,282.651,334.85
Year 5 PV (M)1,210.551,273.081,338.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,728.4928,109.1629,546.30
Equity Value (M)32,927.2334,497.5836,129.55
Shares Outstanding (M)500.25500.25500.25
Fair Value$65.82$68.96$72.22
Upside / Downside-21.13%-17.37%-13.46%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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