Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Teka Construction Public Company Limited (TEKA.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.10 - $1.57$1.33
Multi-Stage$1.91 - $2.08$1.99
Blended Fair Value$1.66
Current Price$1.70
Upside-2.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-23.52%0.00%0.110.130.550.000.360.401.770.110.000.00
YoY Growth---19.23%-76.36%0.00%-100.00%-10.70%-77.30%1,503.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.42%6.03%17.22%0.00%7.80%8.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.636.023.61
Cash Retained (M)1.661.661.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.63-6.02-3.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)-7.97-4.36-1.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)299.43299.43299.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.01-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.01-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate9.46%9.46%9.46%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.10$1.33$1.57
Upside / Downside-35.27%-21.64%-7.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.1647.6847.2046.7346.2645.8047.17
Payout Ratio96.55%95.24%93.93%92.62%91.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.5045.4144.3443.2842.2441.2243.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.46%9.46%9.46%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)41.0741.4941.90
Year 2 PV (M)36.2637.0037.76
Year 3 PV (M)32.0133.0034.01
Year 4 PV (M)28.2529.4330.63
Year 5 PV (M)24.9326.2327.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)408.61429.89452.04
Equity Value (M)571.14597.04623.93
Shares Outstanding (M)299.43299.43299.43
Fair Value$1.91$1.99$2.08
Upside / Downside12.20%17.29%22.57%

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