Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

DocCheck AG (AJ91.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Healthcare Information ServicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.85 - $81.04$49.09
Multi-Stage$24.63 - $26.81$25.70
Blended Fair Value$37.40
Current Price$8.35
Upside347.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.91%9.78%0.500.750.990.990.100.390.390.390.390.34
YoY Growth---33.06%-24.72%0.00%908.83%-75.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14.29%75.00%
Dividend Yield--5.99%8.17%6.82%3.21%0.42%4.28%5.58%4.06%5.20%5.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.510.940.57
Cash Retained (M)1.231.231.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.51-0.94-0.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.280.280.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.075.075.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.060.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.251.251.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.060.060.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.191.301.38
WACC / Discount Rate9.33%9.33%9.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32.85$49.09$81.04
Upside / Downside293.38%487.92%870.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.558.058.579.139.7210.3510.66
Payout Ratio83.74%84.99%86.24%87.50%88.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.336.847.397.988.639.329.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.33%9.33%9.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6.206.256.31
Year 2 PV (M)6.076.186.30
Year 3 PV (M)5.946.116.28
Year 4 PV (M)5.816.046.27
Year 5 PV (M)5.695.966.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)95.1899.78104.55
Equity Value (M)124.89130.33135.97
Shares Outstanding (M)5.075.075.07
Fair Value$24.63$25.70$26.81
Upside / Downside194.93%207.78%221.09%

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