Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zigup Plc (ZIG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.43 - $177.70$107.11
Multi-Stage$21.55 - $23.55$22.53
Blended Fair Value$64.82
Current Price$3.13
Upside1,971.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020201920182017
DPS19.40%0.00%0.260.250.230.190.110.110.100.100.100.00
YoY Growth--5.10%7.58%18.96%76.10%2.45%3.85%0.28%6.81%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.23%6.36%6.11%4.82%2.99%5.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)204.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)115.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)89.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.9725.6115.36
Cash Retained (M)89.6489.6489.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.97-25.61-15.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.6764.0474.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)229.27229.27229.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.280.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.280.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.710.780.83
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$42.43$107.11$177.70
Upside / Downside1,255.62%3,322.18%5,577.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)204.86218.18232.36247.46263.55280.68289.10
Payout Ratio56.24%62.99%69.75%76.50%83.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)115.22137.44162.06189.30219.40252.61267.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)126.91128.12129.32
Year 2 PV (M)138.19140.82143.48
Year 3 PV (M)149.05153.33157.69
Year 4 PV (M)159.52165.66171.97
Year 5 PV (M)169.60177.79186.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,197.474,400.214,610.71
Equity Value (M)4,940.755,165.935,399.46
Shares Outstanding (M)229.27229.27229.27
Fair Value$21.55$22.53$23.55
Upside / Downside588.49%619.87%652.42%

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