Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Wijaya Karya Beton Tbk (WTON.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.06 - $25.49$22.38
Multi-Stage$55.76 - $61.93$58.78
Blended Fair Value$40.58
Current Price$100.00
Upside-59.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-45.70%-8.44%0.793.751.902.9414.7016.7411.615.883.767.09
YoY Growth---78.93%97.37%-35.37%-79.99%-12.23%44.27%97.37%56.55%-47.04%271.90%
Dividend Yield--1.04%3.75%1.13%1.35%4.68%7.41%1.86%1.14%0.48%0.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39,886.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,536.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)33,350.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,977.334,985.832,991.50
Cash Retained (M)33,350.0133,350.0133,350.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,977.33-4,985.83-2,991.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)25,372.6828,364.1830,358.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8,715.478,715.478,715.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.913.253.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.913.253.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.664.004.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate-10.44%-9.44%-8.44%
Fair Value$19.06$22.38$25.49
Upside / Downside-80.94%-77.62%-74.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39,886.6336,123.2732,714.9929,628.2826,832.8124,301.1025,030.13
Payout Ratio16.39%31.11%45.83%60.56%75.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,536.6311,238.1014,994.2017,941.4720,199.1021,870.9923,152.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate-10.44%-9.44%-8.44%
Year 1 PV (M)10,409.2610,525.4810,641.70
Year 2 PV (M)12,864.0513,152.9113,444.97
Year 3 PV (M)14,257.3714,740.2815,233.97
Year 4 PV (M)14,867.5915,542.7916,240.72
Year 5 PV (M)14,910.9115,762.1216,651.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)418,655.00442,554.36467,532.93
Equity Value (M)485,964.19512,277.94539,746.06
Shares Outstanding (M)8,715.478,715.478,715.47
Fair Value$55.76$58.78$61.93
Upside / Downside-44.24%-41.22%-38.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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