Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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WEG S.A. (WEGE3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$125.44 - $307.22$287.91
Multi-Stage$45.10 - $49.34$47.18
Blended Fair Value$167.55
Current Price$36.59
Upside357.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.93%20.37%0.700.550.450.390.210.160.140.130.130.12
YoY Growth--27.12%22.31%13.89%88.05%29.43%12.74%10.11%4.13%1.31%13.14%
Dividend Yield--1.54%1.43%1.07%1.08%0.53%0.90%1.46%1.37%1.67%2.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,482.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,167.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,314.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,296.55810.34486.21
Cash Retained (M)3,314.943,314.943,314.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,296.55-810.34-486.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,018.392,504.602,828.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,196.474,196.474,196.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.600.67
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.600.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.241.351.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$125.44$287.91$307.22
Upside / Downside242.83%686.87%739.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,482.756,904.137,352.907,830.848,339.848,881.939,148.39
Payout Ratio48.87%57.09%65.32%73.55%81.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,167.813,941.724,802.855,759.286,819.747,993.748,462.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,665.043,699.783,734.52
Year 2 PV (M)4,152.264,231.354,311.18
Year 3 PV (M)4,629.634,762.534,897.94
Year 4 PV (M)5,097.285,293.315,494.94
Year 5 PV (M)5,555.385,823.706,102.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)166,158.39174,183.91182,516.57
Equity Value (M)189,257.97197,994.56207,057.45
Shares Outstanding (M)4,196.474,196.474,196.47
Fair Value$45.10$47.18$49.34
Upside / Downside23.26%28.95%34.85%

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