Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Volta Finance Limited (VTAS.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.15 - $24.37$20.70
Multi-Stage$26.35 - $28.87$27.59
Blended Fair Value$24.14
Current Price$6.13
Upside293.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.05%1.69%0.550.510.570.510.530.610.620.620.620.61
YoY Growth--7.86%-10.54%11.71%-3.75%-13.07%-1.58%0.05%0.07%1.71%30.79%
Dividend Yield--10.76%10.06%10.54%8.38%11.45%8.97%7.41%7.34%6.98%5.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)94.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)53.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.8211.777.06
Cash Retained (M)53.7053.7053.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.82-11.77-7.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)34.8841.9346.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.5836.5836.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.951.151.28
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.951.151.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.062.252.38
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-1.81%-0.81%0.19%
Fair Value$17.15$20.70$24.37
Upside / Downside179.74%237.74%297.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)94.1293.3692.6091.8491.1090.3693.07
Payout Ratio42.95%52.36%61.77%71.18%80.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.4248.8857.1965.3773.4281.3286.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-1.81%-0.81%0.19%
Year 1 PV (M)44.0044.4444.89
Year 2 PV (M)46.3447.2948.25
Year 3 PV (M)47.6849.1550.65
Year 4 PV (M)48.2050.1952.25
Year 5 PV (M)48.0650.5653.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)729.55767.46806.94
Equity Value (M)963.821,009.101,056.14
Shares Outstanding (M)36.5836.5836.58
Fair Value$26.35$27.59$28.87
Upside / Downside329.82%350.01%370.99%

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