Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Vukile Property Fund Limited (VKE.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$182.97 - $1,012.97$351.74
Multi-Stage$112.01 - $122.59$117.20
Blended Fair Value$234.47
Current Price$20.75
Upside1,029.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-4.46%7.14%1.271.040.941.150.391.591.301.010.900.80
YoY Growth--22.41%9.86%-18.33%193.49%-75.31%22.99%28.61%12.52%11.90%25.75%
Dividend Yield--7.27%6.95%7.58%8.21%4.55%22.51%6.41%4.60%4.65%4.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,987.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,342.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,645.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,197.40748.38449.03
Cash Retained (M)4,645.004,645.004,645.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,197.40-748.38-449.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,447.603,896.634,195.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,171.491,171.491,171.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.943.333.58
LTM Dividend per Share1.151.151.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.943.333.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.094.474.73
WACC / Discount Rate7.49%7.49%7.49%
Growth Rate5.14%6.14%7.14%
Fair Value$182.97$351.74$1,012.97
Upside / Downside781.77%1,595.12%4,781.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,987.006,354.666,744.917,159.127,598.768,065.408,307.37
Payout Ratio22.42%35.93%49.45%62.97%76.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,342.002,283.373,335.304,507.825,811.767,258.867,684.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.49%7.49%7.49%
Growth Rate5.14%6.14%7.14%
Year 1 PV (M)2,104.242,124.252,144.27
Year 2 PV (M)2,832.522,886.662,941.30
Year 3 PV (M)3,527.963,629.583,733.14
Year 4 PV (M)4,191.644,353.404,519.79
Year 5 PV (M)4,824.635,058.475,301.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)113,739.19119,251.95124,976.42
Equity Value (M)131,220.18137,304.31143,616.22
Shares Outstanding (M)1,171.491,171.491,171.49
Fair Value$112.01$117.20$122.59
Upside / Downside439.81%464.84%490.81%

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