Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Shri Venkatesh Refineries Limi (SVRL.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.93 - $105.91$84.73
Multi-Stage$166.81 - $184.02$175.25
Blended Fair Value$129.99
Current Price$135.00
Upside-3.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%1.000.690.500.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--44.45%38.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.53%0.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)148.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)133.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.6818.5511.13
Cash Retained (M)133.10133.10133.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.68-18.55-11.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)103.42114.55121.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.1122.1122.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.685.185.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.690.690.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.685.185.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.375.876.21
WACC / Discount Rate5.86%5.86%5.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$66.93$84.73$105.91
Upside / Downside-50.42%-37.24%-21.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)148.42146.93145.46144.01142.57141.14145.38
Payout Ratio10.32%26.25%42.19%58.13%74.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.3138.5861.3783.71105.59127.03134.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.86%5.86%5.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)36.0736.4436.81
Year 2 PV (M)53.6654.7655.87
Year 3 PV (M)68.4470.5672.72
Year 4 PV (M)80.7384.0787.52
Year 5 PV (M)90.8195.54100.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,358.513,533.403,715.50
Equity Value (M)3,688.233,874.774,068.88
Shares Outstanding (M)22.1122.1122.11
Fair Value$166.81$175.25$184.02
Upside / Downside23.56%29.81%36.31%

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