Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Stavropolenergosbyt Public Joint-Stock Company (STSB.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.23 - $88.41$53.95
Multi-Stage$24.68 - $27.00$25.82
Blended Fair Value$39.88
Current Price$3.04
Upside1,212.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS124.03%102.23%0.390.050.020.020.010.010.010.010.000.01
YoY Growth--707.65%100.47%37.97%118.42%15.64%1.48%6.23%68,312.50%-99.93%3,974.91%
Dividend Yield--9.96%1.47%2.39%2.89%1.50%2.09%1.59%2.05%0.00%4.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,425.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,425.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)285.18178.24106.94
Cash Retained (M)1,425.771,425.771,425.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-285.18-178.24-106.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,140.591,247.541,318.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)859.07859.07859.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.331.451.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.331.451.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.451.54
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.23$53.95$88.41
Upside / Downside1,091.71%1,674.76%2,808.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,425.881,518.571,617.271,722.391,834.351,953.582,012.19
Payout Ratio0.01%18.01%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.11273.44582.29930.151,320.761,758.221,861.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)247.67250.02252.37
Year 2 PV (M)477.72486.82496.01
Year 3 PV (M)691.20711.04731.26
Year 4 PV (M)888.98923.17958.34
Year 5 PV (M)1,071.921,123.691,177.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,822.8418,683.6919,577.48
Equity Value (M)21,200.3322,178.4323,192.90
Shares Outstanding (M)859.07859.07859.07
Fair Value$24.68$25.82$27.00
Upside / Downside711.78%749.23%788.08%

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