Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Surya Semesta Internusa Tbk (SSIA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,517.21 - $4,143.87$3,883.42
Multi-Stage$2,653.37 - $2,911.31$2,779.93
Blended Fair Value$3,331.67
Current Price$1,590.00
Upside109.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.26%-8.85%12.010.000.000.004.967.0520.136.019.8218.19
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-29.54%-65.00%234.99%-38.78%-46.06%-40.00%
Dividend Yield--1.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.03%1.60%3.66%1.09%1.50%2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)96,259.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55,480.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)40,779.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19,251.9112,032.447,219.47
Cash Retained (M)40,779.2440,779.2440,779.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-19,251.91-12,032.44-7,219.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,527.3328,746.7933,559.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,619.744,619.744,619.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.666.227.26
LTM Dividend per Share12.0112.0112.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.666.227.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.6718.2319.27
WACC / Discount Rate0.28%0.28%0.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,517.21$3,883.42$4,143.87
Upside / Downside121.21%144.24%160.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)96,259.55102,516.42109,179.98116,276.68123,834.67131,883.92135,840.44
Payout Ratio57.64%64.11%70.58%77.05%83.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55,480.3165,722.1877,061.0989,596.38103,435.67118,695.53125,652.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.28%0.28%0.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)64,924.7465,540.1466,155.55
Year 2 PV (M)75,202.4076,634.8078,080.71
Year 3 PV (M)86,374.4688,853.9691,380.46
Year 4 PV (M)98,506.19102,294.46106,190.96
Year 5 PV (M)111,667.26117,060.83122,660.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,821,220.4712,392,189.8412,985,011.55
Equity Value (M)12,257,895.5312,842,574.0413,449,480.05
Shares Outstanding (M)4,619.744,619.744,619.74
Fair Value$2,653.37$2,779.93$2,911.31
Upside / Downside66.88%74.84%83.10%

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