Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Síminn hf. (SIMINN.IC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.06 - $7.58$6.26
Multi-Stage$11.62 - $12.80$12.20
Blended Fair Value$9.23
Current Price$13.00
Upside-29.02%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.62%0.00%0.210.210.210.210.210.140.130.110.240.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-0.20%0.00%0.00%51.52%6.11%13.09%-52.34%57,600.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.45%2.05%1.82%1.69%2.05%2.61%3.26%2.56%6.29%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,488.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)498.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)990.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)297.60186.00111.60
Cash Retained (M)990.00990.00990.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-297.60-186.00-111.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)692.40804.00878.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,413.332,413.332,413.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.330.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.330.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.80%-1.80%-0.80%
Fair Value$5.06$6.26$7.58
Upside / Downside-61.04%-51.86%-41.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,488.001,461.161,434.791,408.911,383.491,358.531,399.29
Payout Ratio33.47%44.77%56.08%67.39%78.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)498.00654.22804.64949.421,088.721,222.681,294.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-2.80%-1.80%-0.80%
Year 1 PV (M)607.11613.36619.61
Year 2 PV (M)692.94707.27721.75
Year 3 PV (M)758.75782.41806.56
Year 4 PV (M)807.42841.17875.96
Year 5 PV (M)841.48885.67931.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,327.8225,605.3226,935.94
Equity Value (M)28,035.5229,435.2030,891.50
Shares Outstanding (M)2,413.332,413.332,413.33
Fair Value$11.62$12.20$12.80
Upside / Downside-10.64%-6.18%-1.54%

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