Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SES-imagotag S.A. (SESL.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.73 - $30.90$26.24
Multi-Stage$32.50 - $35.72$34.08
Blended Fair Value$30.16
Current Price$144.20
Upside-79.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.300.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)47.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.406.503.90
Cash Retained (M)47.2447.2447.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.40-6.50-3.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.8440.7443.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.0116.0116.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.302.542.71
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.302.542.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.602.843.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.73%9.73%9.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$21.73$26.24$30.90
Upside / Downside-84.93%-81.80%-78.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52.0151.4950.9750.4649.9649.4650.94
Payout Ratio9.17%25.34%41.50%57.67%73.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.7713.0521.1629.1036.8944.5147.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.73%9.73%9.73%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.7711.8912.01
Year 2 PV (M)17.2217.5717.93
Year 3 PV (M)21.3722.0322.70
Year 4 PV (M)24.4325.4526.49
Year 5 PV (M)26.6027.9929.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)418.74440.54463.25
Equity Value (M)520.13545.47571.81
Shares Outstanding (M)16.0116.0116.01
Fair Value$32.50$34.08$35.72
Upside / Downside-77.47%-76.37%-75.23%

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