Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Rusta AB (publ) (RUSTA.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.37 - $45.87$36.97
Multi-Stage$70.17 - $77.27$73.65
Blended Fair Value$55.31
Current Price$62.80
Upside-11.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%1.140.691.002.620.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--65.71%-30.92%-61.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.49%0.93%2.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)468.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)222.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)246.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)93.6058.5035.10
Cash Retained (M)246.00246.00246.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-93.60-58.50-35.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)152.40187.50210.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)152.72152.72152.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.001.231.38
LTM Dividend per Share1.451.451.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.001.231.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.452.682.83
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$29.37$36.97$45.87
Upside / Downside-53.23%-41.13%-26.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)468.00463.32458.69454.10449.56445.06458.42
Payout Ratio47.44%55.95%64.46%72.97%81.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)222.00259.22295.68331.38366.33400.56424.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)241.67244.13246.60
Year 2 PV (M)256.99262.26267.58
Year 3 PV (M)268.51276.82285.29
Year 4 PV (M)276.74288.21300.03
Year 5 PV (M)282.10296.79312.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,390.519,879.4910,388.64
Equity Value (M)10,716.5111,247.6911,800.22
Shares Outstanding (M)152.72152.72152.72
Fair Value$70.17$73.65$77.27
Upside / Downside11.74%17.28%23.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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