Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Rockwood Strategic Plc (RKW.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.95 - $8.43$7.18
Multi-Stage$8.60 - $9.46$9.02
Blended Fair Value$8.10
Current Price$2.82
Upside187.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-23.04%-30.00%0.010.000.000.020.020.020.030.020.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-38.29%15.29%-18.61%68.61%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.23%0.00%0.00%1.08%1.74%1.51%1.86%1.10%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)31.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.434.022.41
Cash Retained (M)31.9631.9631.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.43-4.02-2.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.5327.9429.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.2935.2935.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.720.790.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.720.790.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.84
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.95$7.18$8.43
Upside / Downside111.17%154.53%198.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.1731.8531.5331.2130.9030.5931.51
Payout Ratio0.63%18.50%36.38%54.25%72.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.205.8911.4716.9322.2927.5329.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.305.365.41
Year 2 PV (M)9.299.489.67
Year 3 PV (M)12.3412.7213.11
Year 4 PV (M)14.6215.2215.85
Year 5 PV (M)16.2517.0917.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)245.73258.53271.85
Equity Value (M)303.53318.40333.87
Shares Outstanding (M)35.2935.2935.29
Fair Value$8.60$9.02$9.46
Upside / Downside204.98%219.93%235.47%

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