Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ricardo plc (RCDO.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.92 - $5.80$4.82
Multi-Stage$7.00 - $7.69$7.34
Blended Fair Value$6.08
Current Price$4.20
Upside44.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.89%0.26%0.120.110.080.020.190.180.170.160.140.13
YoY Growth--14.93%34.00%257.14%-87.93%5.45%4.76%7.14%10.11%9.88%8.00%
Dividend Yield--2.53%1.87%2.21%0.55%4.43%2.39%1.75%2.02%1.93%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.163.852.31
Cash Retained (M)15.6015.6015.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.16-3.85-2.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.4411.7513.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.5062.5062.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.390.430.46
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate-1.74%-0.74%0.26%
Fair Value$3.92$4.82$5.80
Upside / Downside-6.64%14.76%38.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.8030.5730.3530.1229.9029.6830.57
Payout Ratio49.35%57.48%65.61%73.74%81.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.2017.5719.9122.2124.4826.7128.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate-1.74%-0.74%0.26%
Year 1 PV (M)16.0916.2516.41
Year 2 PV (M)16.6817.0317.37
Year 3 PV (M)17.0417.5618.10
Year 4 PV (M)17.1917.9018.63
Year 5 PV (M)17.1718.0618.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)353.43371.78390.89
Equity Value (M)437.59458.58480.39
Shares Outstanding (M)62.5062.5062.50
Fair Value$7.00$7.34$7.69
Upside / Downside66.69%74.68%82.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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