Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Pylon Public Company Limited (PYLON.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.61 - $0.85$0.73
Multi-Stage$1.81 - $2.01$1.91
Blended Fair Value$1.32
Current Price$1.98
Upside-33.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.96%2.33%0.140.150.060.140.270.100.140.170.390.24
YoY Growth---6.67%150.00%-57.14%-48.15%170.00%-31.03%-17.14%-55.12%61.53%117.05%
Dividend Yield--7.65%6.30%1.42%2.87%5.87%3.23%2.32%2.38%6.34%4.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)53.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.6010.386.23
Cash Retained (M)53.0253.0253.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.60-10.38-6.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.4242.6446.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)749.87749.87749.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-7.06%-6.06%-5.06%
Fair Value$0.61$0.73$0.85
Upside / Downside-69.17%-63.18%-57.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.0277.9873.2568.8164.6460.7262.54
Payout Ratio36.13%46.91%57.68%68.45%79.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.9936.5842.2547.1051.2154.6557.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-7.06%-6.06%-5.06%
Year 1 PV (M)34.0134.3734.74
Year 2 PV (M)36.5237.3138.11
Year 3 PV (M)37.8539.0840.34
Year 4 PV (M)38.2639.9341.66
Year 5 PV (M)37.9540.0442.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,174.671,239.241,306.63
Equity Value (M)1,359.251,429.971,503.68
Shares Outstanding (M)749.87749.87749.87
Fair Value$1.81$1.91$2.01
Upside / Downside-8.45%-3.69%1.28%

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