Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Protector Forsikring ASA (PROT.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - SpecialtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$950.37 - $5,524.66$1,764.59
Multi-Stage$560.86 - $613.14$586.52
Blended Fair Value$1,175.56
Current Price$429.00
Upside174.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%19.01%10.0210.0211.528.020.000.000.002.362.362.01
YoY Growth--0.01%-13.03%43.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-0.01%17.36%14.29%
Dividend Yield--2.96%4.43%8.29%6.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.76%3.70%2.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,285.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)742.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,543.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)457.00285.63171.38
Cash Retained (M)1,543.001,543.001,543.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-457.00-285.63-171.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,086.001,257.381,371.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)82.2582.2582.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.2015.2916.68
LTM Dividend per Share9.029.029.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.2015.2916.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend22.2224.3125.70
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$950.37$1,764.59$5,524.66
Upside / Downside121.53%311.33%1,187.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,285.002,433.532,591.702,760.162,939.583,130.653,224.57
Payout Ratio32.47%43.98%55.48%66.99%78.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)742.001,070.221,437.971,849.012,307.412,817.582,982.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.97%7.97%7.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)981.94991.251,000.55
Year 2 PV (M)1,210.521,233.581,256.86
Year 3 PV (M)1,428.151,469.151,510.92
Year 4 PV (M)1,635.201,698.081,762.77
Year 5 PV (M)1,832.041,920.532,012.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)39,045.8540,931.7842,889.89
Equity Value (M)46,133.7148,244.3750,433.39
Shares Outstanding (M)82.2582.2582.25
Fair Value$560.86$586.52$613.14
Upside / Downside30.74%36.72%42.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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