Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Per Aarsleff Holding A/S (PAAL-B.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,905.44 - $8,465.93$7,933.82
Multi-Stage$1,267.95 - $1,388.48$1,327.11
Blended Fair Value$4,630.46
Current Price$657.00
Upside604.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.50%25.08%9.847.838.146.705.725.234.204.203.151.58
YoY Growth--25.66%-3.80%21.54%17.16%9.42%24.36%0.00%33.33%100.00%50.00%
Dividend Yield--1.96%2.43%3.11%2.19%1.85%2.44%2.14%2.05%1.79%0.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)826.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)208.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)618.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)165.20103.2561.95
Cash Retained (M)618.00618.00618.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-165.20-103.25-61.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)452.80514.75556.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.4019.4019.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share23.3426.5328.66
LTM Dividend per Share10.7210.7210.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share23.3426.5328.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend34.0637.2539.38
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,905.44$7,933.82$8,465.93
Upside / Downside494.44%1,107.58%1,188.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)826.00879.69936.87997.771,062.621,131.691,165.64
Payout Ratio25.18%38.15%51.11%64.07%77.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)208.00335.56478.82639.30818.601,018.521,078.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)312.36315.32318.28
Year 2 PV (M)414.89422.80430.77
Year 3 PV (M)515.63530.44545.52
Year 4 PV (M)614.60638.24662.55
Year 5 PV (M)711.82746.20781.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,033.6023,097.8324,202.79
Equity Value (M)24,602.9025,750.8126,941.80
Shares Outstanding (M)19.4019.4019.40
Fair Value$1,267.95$1,327.11$1,388.48
Upside / Downside92.99%101.99%111.34%

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