Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.32 - $88.31$36.65
Multi-Stage$13.18 - $14.41$13.78
Blended Fair Value$25.22
Current Price$21.14
Upside19.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.34%0.00%0.080.000.000.000.020.040.150.580.670.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-42.63%-72.84%-74.23%-13.44%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.22%1.00%1.11%6.06%6.93%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.799.245.55
Cash Retained (M)57.3857.3857.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.79-9.24-5.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.5948.1451.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)104.75104.75104.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.620.65
WACC / Discount Rate8.29%8.29%8.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.32$36.65$88.31
Upside / Downside0.84%73.37%317.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73.9478.7583.8789.3295.13101.31104.35
Payout Ratio22.40%35.92%49.44%62.96%76.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.5628.2941.4656.2472.7591.1896.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.29%8.29%8.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25.8726.1226.36
Year 2 PV (M)34.6935.3636.02
Year 3 PV (M)43.0444.2845.54
Year 4 PV (M)50.9452.9054.91
Year 5 PV (M)58.3961.2164.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,167.491,223.881,282.43
Equity Value (M)1,380.431,443.741,509.41
Shares Outstanding (M)104.75104.75104.75
Fair Value$13.18$13.78$14.41
Upside / Downside-37.66%-34.80%-31.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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