Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

nVent Electric plc (NVT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.33 - $186.87$112.81
Multi-Stage$296.09 - $326.88$311.18
Blended Fair Value$212.00
Current Price$98.64
Upside114.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.99%0.00%0.760.700.700.710.720.730.380.000.000.00
YoY Growth--8.56%-0.17%-0.59%-1.09%-1.41%91.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.46%0.94%1.64%2.04%2.57%4.31%1.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)602.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)129.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)472.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)120.4275.2645.16
Cash Retained (M)472.60472.60472.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-120.42-75.26-45.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)352.18397.34427.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)165.98165.98165.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.122.392.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.780.780.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.122.392.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.903.173.36
WACC / Discount Rate2.80%2.80%2.80%
Growth Rate-1.01%-0.01%0.99%
Fair Value$75.33$112.81$186.87
Upside / Downside-23.63%14.37%89.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)602.10602.05601.99601.94601.88601.83619.88
Payout Ratio21.51%35.21%48.90%62.60%76.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)129.50211.96294.40376.83459.25541.64573.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.80%2.80%2.80%
Growth Rate-1.01%-0.01%0.99%
Year 1 PV (M)204.11206.18208.24
Year 2 PV (M)273.02278.56284.16
Year 3 PV (M)336.52346.83357.34
Year 4 PV (M)394.95411.15427.84
Year 5 PV (M)448.57471.69495.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,486.0949,933.5552,480.90
Equity Value (M)49,143.2651,647.9554,254.23
Shares Outstanding (M)165.98165.98165.98
Fair Value$296.09$311.18$326.88
Upside / Downside200.17%215.47%231.39%

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