Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NTT System S.A. (NTT.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.92 - $314.61$266.11
Multi-Stage$39.29 - $43.04$41.13
Blended Fair Value$153.62
Current Price$8.88
Upside1,629.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.33%0.00%0.150.000.300.150.070.110.120.000.320.15
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%100.00%114.35%-36.59%-8.79%0.00%-100.00%113.25%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.69%0.00%5.76%2.98%1.05%5.53%5.34%0.00%14.02%5.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.282.681.61
Cash Retained (M)19.3719.3719.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.28-2.68-1.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.0916.6917.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.5213.5213.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.121.231.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.121.231.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.271.381.46
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.46%6.46%7.46%
Fair Value$85.92$266.11$314.61
Upside / Downside867.56%2,896.78%3,442.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21.4022.7824.2525.8227.4929.2630.14
Payout Ratio9.49%25.60%41.70%57.80%73.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.035.8310.1114.9220.3126.3327.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate5.46%6.46%7.46%
Year 1 PV (M)5.405.455.50
Year 2 PV (M)8.678.839.00
Year 3 PV (M)11.8412.1812.52
Year 4 PV (M)14.9215.4916.08
Year 5 PV (M)17.9018.7719.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)472.63495.47519.18
Equity Value (M)531.35556.19581.95
Shares Outstanding (M)13.5213.5213.52
Fair Value$39.29$41.13$43.04
Upside / Downside342.49%363.17%384.63%

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