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Definitive Analysis

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Mopoli Fond (MOPF.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$225.25 - $318.92$271.51
Multi-Stage$325.03 - $357.54$340.97
Blended Fair Value$306.24
Current Price$7,750.00
Upside-96.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%20.7262.110.000.000.030.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---66.64%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.27%0.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.650.410.24
Cash Retained (M)3.263.263.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.65-0.41-0.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.612.853.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.090.090.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share27.5530.1431.86
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share27.5530.1431.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend27.5830.1731.89
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$225.25$271.51$318.92
Upside / Downside-97.09%-96.50%-95.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.263.233.203.173.133.103.20
Payout Ratio0.09%18.07%36.06%54.04%72.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.000.581.151.712.262.792.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.530.530.54
Year 2 PV (M)0.930.950.97
Year 3 PV (M)1.251.281.32
Year 4 PV (M)1.481.541.60
Year 5 PV (M)1.651.731.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)24.9226.2227.57
Equity Value (M)30.7532.2633.83
Shares Outstanding (M)0.090.090.09
Fair Value$325.03$340.97$357.54
Upside / Downside-95.81%-95.60%-95.39%

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