Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Multistrada Arah Sarana Tbk (MASA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.05 - $0.08$0.06
Multi-Stage$0.05 - $0.05$0.05
Blended Fair Value$0.06
Current Price$0.38
Upside-85.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%39.47%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.05%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%79.08%
Dividend Yield--0.63%0.68%0.00%0.00%0.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.504.062.44
Cash Retained (M)11.1111.1111.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.50-4.06-2.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.617.058.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9,182.959,182.959,182.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.000.000.00
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate3.78%4.78%5.78%
Fair Value$0.05$0.06$0.08
Upside / Downside-87.72%-83.84%-78.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.4834.0335.6637.3639.1541.0242.25
Payout Ratio65.80%70.64%75.48%80.32%85.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.3724.0426.9130.0133.3436.9139.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate3.78%4.78%5.78%
Year 1 PV (M)21.6521.8622.06
Year 2 PV (M)21.8222.2422.67
Year 3 PV (M)21.9122.5523.20
Year 4 PV (M)21.9222.7723.66
Year 5 PV (M)21.8522.9324.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)330.68346.92363.79
Equity Value (M)439.82459.27479.42
Shares Outstanding (M)9,182.959,182.959,182.95
Fair Value$0.05$0.05$0.05
Upside / Downside-87.54%-86.99%-86.42%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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