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Definitive Analysis

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Lemonsoft Oyj (LEMON.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.11 - $45.77$23.26
Multi-Stage$5.38 - $5.88$5.63
Blended Fair Value$14.44
Current Price$7.04
Upside105.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS16.25%0.00%0.140.140.130.120.080.070.040.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.15%9.22%7.51%44.44%25.00%50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.55%2.38%1.62%0.91%0.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.850.530.32
Cash Retained (M)1.671.671.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.85-0.53-0.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.821.141.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.5118.5118.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.200.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.11$23.26$45.77
Upside / Downside43.55%230.36%550.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.264.544.835.155.485.846.01
Payout Ratio60.80%66.64%72.48%78.32%84.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.593.023.504.034.615.255.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2.792.812.84
Year 2 PV (M)2.983.033.09
Year 3 PV (M)3.163.253.34
Year 4 PV (M)3.343.463.60
Year 5 PV (M)3.503.673.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)83.8687.9192.11
Equity Value (M)99.62104.15108.83
Shares Outstanding (M)18.5118.5118.51
Fair Value$5.38$5.63$5.88
Upside / Downside-23.55%-20.08%-16.48%

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