Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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AB Industrivärden (publ) (INDU-A.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$498.70 - $952.79$681.24
Multi-Stage$661.35 - $725.78$692.96
Blended Fair Value$687.10
Current Price$373.20
Upside84.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.99%3.90%7.757.256.758.310.005.795.545.295.016.26
YoY Growth--6.90%7.41%-18.80%0.00%-100.00%4.51%4.77%5.69%-19.99%18.40%
Dividend Yield--2.11%1.98%2.41%3.09%0.00%2.99%2.74%2.61%2.42%4.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,796.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,563.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,233.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,759.201,724.501,034.70
Cash Retained (M)10,233.0010,233.0010,233.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,759.20-1,724.50-1,034.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)7,473.808,508.509,198.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)431.80431.80431.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.3119.7021.30
LTM Dividend per Share8.258.258.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.3119.7021.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend25.5627.9629.55
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate1.90%2.90%3.90%
Fair Value$498.70$681.24$952.79
Upside / Downside33.63%82.54%155.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,796.0014,196.6914,609.0215,033.3315,469.9615,919.2716,396.85
Payout Ratio25.83%38.66%51.50%64.33%77.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,563.005,488.597,523.039,671.0211,937.4414,327.3515,167.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate1.90%2.90%3.90%
Year 1 PV (M)5,073.645,123.435,173.22
Year 2 PV (M)6,428.516,555.306,683.32
Year 3 PV (M)7,639.217,866.328,097.89
Year 4 PV (M)8,716.589,063.809,421.29
Year 5 PV (M)9,670.7410,154.6410,657.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)248,043.98260,455.62273,359.20
Equity Value (M)285,572.67299,219.11313,392.64
Shares Outstanding (M)431.80431.80431.80
Fair Value$661.35$692.96$725.78
Upside / Downside77.21%85.68%94.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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