Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

IDOX plc (IDOX.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.27 - $0.42$0.34
Multi-Stage$0.33 - $0.36$0.35
Blended Fair Value$0.34
Current Price$0.55
Upside-38.04%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.68%0.010.000.000.000.000.000.010.010.010.01
YoY Growth--21.52%27.13%34.03%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-35.57%33.96%17.99%3.61%
Dividend Yield--1.00%0.80%0.64%0.41%0.00%0.00%1.80%1.48%1.11%1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.351.470.88
Cash Retained (M)5.765.765.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.35-1.47-0.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.414.294.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)457.67457.67457.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.020.020.02
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate1.74%2.74%3.74%
Fair Value$0.27$0.34$0.42
Upside / Downside-51.74%-38.92%-23.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.7312.0512.3812.7213.0713.4313.83
Payout Ratio50.94%58.75%66.57%74.38%82.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.987.088.249.4610.7412.0912.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate1.74%2.74%3.74%
Year 1 PV (M)6.406.466.52
Year 2 PV (M)6.736.867.00
Year 3 PV (M)6.987.197.40
Year 4 PV (M)7.167.457.74
Year 5 PV (M)7.287.648.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)116.73122.58128.66
Equity Value (M)151.27158.18165.34
Shares Outstanding (M)457.67457.67457.67
Fair Value$0.33$0.35$0.36
Upside / Downside-39.90%-37.16%-34.31%

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