Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Halma plc (HLMA.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.83 - $230.03$83.41
Multi-Stage$28.33 - $30.98$29.63
Blended Fair Value$56.52
Current Price$34.50
Upside63.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.49%6.80%0.220.210.190.180.170.160.150.140.130.12
YoY Growth--7.16%6.68%6.70%7.85%4.08%6.99%7.12%7.25%7.13%7.08%
Dividend Yield--0.86%0.88%0.87%0.72%0.71%0.84%0.88%1.19%1.28%1.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)553.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)151.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)401.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)110.6869.1841.51
Cash Retained (M)401.55401.55401.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-110.68-69.18-41.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)290.87332.38360.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)379.05379.05379.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.770.880.95
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.770.880.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.171.281.35
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$46.83$83.41$230.03
Upside / Downside35.75%141.77%566.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)553.40589.37627.68668.48711.93758.21780.95
Payout Ratio27.44%39.95%52.46%64.98%77.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)151.85235.46329.30434.35551.66682.39722.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.13%8.13%8.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)215.71217.76219.80
Year 2 PV (M)276.38281.64286.95
Year 3 PV (M)333.96343.55353.32
Year 4 PV (M)388.58403.52418.89
Year 5 PV (M)440.34461.61483.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,084.809,523.609,979.20
Equity Value (M)10,739.7811,231.6811,741.86
Shares Outstanding (M)379.05379.05379.05
Fair Value$28.33$29.63$30.98
Upside / Downside-17.87%-14.11%-10.21%

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