Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Global Smaller Companies Trust Plc (GSCT.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - GlobalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.24 - $11.75$9.97
Multi-Stage$12.34 - $13.57$12.94
Blended Fair Value$11.45
Current Price$1.49
Upside668.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.75%12.35%0.030.020.020.020.020.020.020.010.010.01
YoY Growth--11.08%18.25%2.72%-0.59%-1.39%13.94%22.54%11.45%23.12%26.50%
Dividend Yield--1.86%1.56%1.47%1.31%1.22%1.89%1.36%1.09%1.04%1.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)596.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)574.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119.3974.6244.77
Cash Retained (M)574.44574.44574.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-119.39-74.62-44.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)455.05499.82529.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)489.05489.05489.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.931.021.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.931.021.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.61%9.61%9.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.24$9.97$11.75
Upside / Downside453.28%568.95%688.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)596.93590.96585.05579.20573.41567.67584.70
Payout Ratio3.77%21.01%38.26%55.51%72.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.49124.18223.84321.50417.17510.90540.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.61%9.61%9.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)112.15113.30114.44
Year 2 PV (M)182.57186.32190.10
Year 3 PV (M)236.82244.15251.62
Year 4 PV (M)277.53289.03300.89
Year 5 PV (M)306.96322.95339.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,917.575,173.645,440.26
Equity Value (M)6,033.616,329.386,636.91
Shares Outstanding (M)489.05489.05489.05
Fair Value$12.34$12.94$13.57
Upside / Downside728.02%768.61%810.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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