Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Fondul Proprietatea S.A. (FP.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.18 - $0.24$0.21
Multi-Stage$0.33 - $0.36$0.34
Blended Fair Value$0.28
Current Price$18.95
Upside-98.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-73.05%-17.69%0.000.010.000.230.120.180.140.000.000.00
YoY Growth---95.36%838.50%-99.75%96.80%-34.09%27.67%1,241,850.40%-20.03%-98.58%-44.13%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.02%0.00%0.22%0.14%0.34%0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)179.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)178.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.8622.4113.45
Cash Retained (M)178.43178.43178.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.86-22.41-13.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)142.57156.02164.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,330.443,330.443,330.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.050.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-10.85%-9.85%-8.85%
Fair Value$0.18$0.21$0.24
Upside / Downside-99.03%-98.87%-98.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)179.28161.62145.71131.36118.42106.76109.97
Payout Ratio0.48%18.38%36.29%54.19%72.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.8529.7152.8771.1885.3896.09101.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-10.85%-9.85%-8.85%
Year 1 PV (M)26.7127.0127.31
Year 2 PV (M)42.7343.6944.67
Year 3 PV (M)51.7253.4855.28
Year 4 PV (M)55.7758.3160.94
Year 5 PV (M)56.4359.6663.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)853.32902.27953.43
Equity Value (M)1,086.681,144.431,204.68
Shares Outstanding (M)3,330.443,330.443,330.44
Fair Value$0.33$0.34$0.36
Upside / Downside-98.28%-98.19%-98.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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