Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Fortress REIT Limited (FFB.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.49 - $45.02$37.45
Multi-Stage$54.23 - $59.69$56.90
Blended Fair Value$47.18
Current Price$20.06
Upside135.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.410.000.570.181.032.262.352.011.18
YoY Growth---100.00%17,419.86%-99.59%212.58%-82.25%-54.72%-3.47%16.78%70.05%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.47%0.02%5.33%1.34%8.23%10.58%15.23%11.70%7.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,979.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)838.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,141.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,195.99747.49448.49
Cash Retained (M)5,141.065,141.065,141.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,195.99-747.49-448.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,945.084,393.574,692.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,546.171,546.171,546.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.552.843.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.540.540.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.552.843.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.093.383.58
WACC / Discount Rate7.95%7.95%7.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$30.49$37.45$45.02
Upside / Downside51.98%86.69%124.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,979.935,920.135,860.935,802.325,744.295,686.855,857.46
Payout Ratio14.03%29.22%44.42%59.61%74.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)838.861,730.002,603.243,458.834,297.055,118.175,418.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.95%7.95%7.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,586.471,602.661,618.84
Year 2 PV (M)2,189.182,234.092,279.45
Year 3 PV (M)2,667.362,749.852,834.03
Year 4 PV (M)3,038.843,164.783,294.60
Year 5 PV (M)3,319.223,492.053,672.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)71,042.0174,741.3478,593.18
Equity Value (M)83,843.0887,984.7792,292.13
Shares Outstanding (M)1,546.171,546.171,546.17
Fair Value$54.23$56.90$59.69
Upside / Downside170.32%183.67%197.56%

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