Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Elma Electronic AG (ELMN.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$795.82 - $1,264.48$1,009.16
Multi-Stage$993.67 - $1,090.47$1,041.15
Blended Fair Value$1,025.16
Current Price$1,150.00
Upside-10.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%2.002.002.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.19%0.20%0.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.482.171.30
Cash Retained (M)16.4916.4916.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.48-2.17-1.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.0114.3115.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.230.230.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share56.9262.6366.44
LTM Dividend per Share4.004.004.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share56.9262.6366.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend60.9266.6370.44
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Fair Value$795.82$1,009.16$1,264.48
Upside / Downside-30.80%-12.25%9.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.4017.8018.2118.6319.0519.4920.08
Payout Ratio5.25%22.20%39.15%56.10%73.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.913.957.1310.4513.9217.5418.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.05%9.05%9.05%
Growth Rate1.30%2.30%3.30%
Year 1 PV (M)3.593.623.66
Year 2 PV (M)5.885.996.11
Year 3 PV (M)7.828.068.30
Year 4 PV (M)9.469.8410.23
Year 5 PV (M)10.8311.3711.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)189.46199.00208.92
Equity Value (M)227.05237.89249.16
Shares Outstanding (M)0.230.230.23
Fair Value$993.67$1,041.15$1,090.47
Upside / Downside-13.59%-9.47%-5.18%

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