Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Currys plc (CURY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.50 - $2.17$1.83
Multi-Stage$2.37 - $2.61$2.49
Blended Fair Value$2.16
Current Price$1.11
Upside94.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.030.040.000.070.100.120.100.09
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-23.91%0.00%-100.00%-32.76%-10.77%13.04%8.49%120.83%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%5.42%4.40%0.00%8.97%7.15%5.72%3.07%2.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)236.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)230.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.2029.5017.70
Cash Retained (M)230.50230.50230.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.20-29.50-17.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)183.30201.00212.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,119.301,119.301,119.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.170.180.20
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.50$1.83$2.17
Upside / Downside35.55%64.77%95.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)236.00233.64231.30228.99226.70224.43231.17
Payout Ratio2.33%19.86%37.40%54.93%72.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.5046.4186.50125.79164.28201.99213.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)42.1542.5843.01
Year 2 PV (M)71.3672.8374.30
Year 3 PV (M)94.2597.17100.14
Year 4 PV (M)111.80116.44121.21
Year 5 PV (M)124.86131.36138.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,207.882,322.852,442.56
Equity Value (M)2,652.322,783.232,919.37
Shares Outstanding (M)1,119.301,119.301,119.30
Fair Value$2.37$2.49$2.61
Upside / Downside113.48%124.02%134.97%

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