Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Custodian REIT Plc (CREI.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.97 - $3.41$2.58
Multi-Stage$2.47 - $2.70$2.58
Blended Fair Value$2.58
Current Price$0.76
Upside241.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.16%17.25%0.060.050.050.050.050.060.060.050.040.03
YoY Growth--12.27%-0.01%0.24%17.23%-23.58%5.96%10.77%24.41%51.33%120.34%
Dividend Yield--8.10%6.75%6.12%5.34%5.06%6.14%5.07%4.58%3.72%2.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)40.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.398.375.02
Cash Retained (M)40.8340.8340.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.39-8.37-5.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.4432.4635.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)444.43444.43444.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate1.99%2.99%3.99%
Fair Value$1.97$2.58$3.41
Upside / Downside160.03%241.88%350.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.9668.9671.0273.1475.3277.5779.90
Payout Ratio39.01%49.21%59.41%69.61%79.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.1233.9342.1950.9160.1169.8273.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.24%8.24%8.24%
Growth Rate1.99%2.99%3.99%
Year 1 PV (M)31.0531.3531.65
Year 2 PV (M)35.3136.0136.71
Year 3 PV (M)38.9940.1441.32
Year 4 PV (M)42.1143.7945.52
Year 5 PV (M)44.7546.9949.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)903.99949.18996.17
Equity Value (M)1,096.201,147.471,200.69
Shares Outstanding (M)444.43444.43444.43
Fair Value$2.47$2.58$2.70
Upside / Downside226.26%241.52%257.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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