Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Brie Picardie Société coopérative (CRBP2.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$118.47 - $208.83$156.83
Multi-Stage$383.54 - $423.39$403.07
Blended Fair Value$279.95
Current Price$22.04
Upside1,170.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.83%-1.10%0.830.750.000.000.770.370.760.970.950.93
YoY Growth--11.14%0.00%0.00%-100.00%110.49%-51.83%-21.35%1.53%2.34%0.12%
Dividend Yield--4.46%4.30%0.00%0.00%3.48%1.20%2.99%3.66%4.08%4.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)423.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)423.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)84.6552.9131.74
Cash Retained (M)423.23423.23423.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-84.65-52.91-31.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)338.58370.32391.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.6646.6646.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.267.948.39
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.267.948.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.267.948.39
WACC / Discount Rate4.76%4.76%4.76%
Growth Rate-1.28%-0.28%0.72%
Fair Value$118.47$156.83$208.83
Upside / Downside437.53%611.56%847.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)423.24422.05420.86419.67418.49417.31429.83
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.0275.98151.52226.63301.31375.58397.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.76%4.76%4.76%
Growth Rate-1.28%-0.28%0.72%
Year 1 PV (M)71.8072.5273.25
Year 2 PV (M)135.29138.05140.83
Year 3 PV (M)191.22197.09203.08
Year 4 PV (M)240.24250.13260.31
Year 5 PV (M)282.97297.59312.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,973.9717,851.2818,764.50
Equity Value (M)17,895.4918,806.6619,754.79
Shares Outstanding (M)46.6646.6646.66
Fair Value$383.54$403.07$423.39
Upside / Downside1,640.21%1,728.82%1,821.01%

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