Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Clara Industries Ltd. (CLARA.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.21 - $10.66$8.86
Multi-Stage$12.85 - $14.15$13.48
Blended Fair Value$11.17
Current Price$19.37
Upside-42.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.782.361.42
Cash Retained (M)16.8416.8416.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.78-2.36-1.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.0614.4715.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.7720.7720.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.700.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.700.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.84
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.21$8.86$10.66
Upside / Downside-62.78%-54.26%-44.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.9018.7118.5318.3418.1617.9818.52
Payout Ratio10.93%26.75%42.56%58.37%74.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.075.017.8910.7113.4716.1817.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.90%7.90%7.90%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.594.644.69
Year 2 PV (M)6.646.776.91
Year 3 PV (M)8.278.528.78
Year 4 PV (M)9.549.9410.35
Year 5 PV (M)10.5211.0611.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)227.33239.17251.50
Equity Value (M)266.89280.11293.86
Shares Outstanding (M)20.7720.7720.77
Fair Value$12.85$13.48$14.15
Upside / Downside-33.67%-30.38%-26.97%

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