Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Crookes Brothers Limited (CKS.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$104.98 - $219.49$148.28
Multi-Stage$128.05 - $139.99$133.91
Blended Fair Value$141.10
Current Price$28.00
Upside403.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS24.45%2.77%2.020.000.000.640.130.680.801.511.661.12
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%374.12%-80.05%-15.65%-47.04%-9.09%48.63%-27.06%
Dividend Yield--7.07%0.00%0.00%1.58%0.31%1.57%1.80%2.75%2.56%2.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)84.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.7411.096.65
Cash Retained (M)4.674.674.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.74-11.09-6.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-13.07-6.42-1.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.1415.1415.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.86-0.42-0.13
LTM Dividend per Share5.555.555.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.86-0.42-0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.695.135.42
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate2.71%3.71%4.71%
Fair Value$104.98$148.28$219.49
Upside / Downside274.94%429.57%683.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88.7091.9995.4198.95102.62106.43109.62
Payout Ratio94.73%93.79%92.84%91.89%90.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)84.0386.2788.5790.9393.3395.79101.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.30%7.30%7.30%
Growth Rate2.71%3.71%4.71%
Year 1 PV (M)79.6380.4181.18
Year 2 PV (M)75.4676.9378.43
Year 3 PV (M)71.5073.6175.76
Year 4 PV (M)67.7470.4173.17
Year 5 PV (M)64.1767.3570.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,580.341,658.781,740.31
Equity Value (M)1,938.832,027.492,119.50
Shares Outstanding (M)15.1415.1415.14
Fair Value$128.05$133.91$139.99
Upside / Downside357.33%378.25%399.95%

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