Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Canadian General Investments, Limited (CGI.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$205.02 - $344.52$266.15
Multi-Stage$225.07 - $246.59$235.63
Blended Fair Value$250.89
Current Price$38.94
Upside544.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.56%2.85%1.000.960.920.880.840.800.760.760.760.76
YoY Growth--4.17%4.33%4.55%4.77%5.00%5.26%0.00%-0.01%0.00%0.66%
Dividend Yield--2.46%2.76%2.74%1.99%2.41%3.10%3.57%3.20%3.97%4.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)348.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)306.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.7843.6126.17
Cash Retained (M)306.76306.76306.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.78-43.61-26.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)236.98263.15280.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.8420.8420.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.3712.6313.46
LTM Dividend per Share2.022.022.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.3712.6313.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.3914.6515.49
WACC / Discount Rate9.26%9.26%9.26%
Growth Rate2.56%3.56%4.56%
Fair Value$205.02$266.15$344.52
Upside / Downside426.51%583.50%784.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)348.90361.34374.22387.56401.38415.68428.16
Payout Ratio12.08%27.66%43.25%58.83%74.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42.1499.96161.84228.01298.69374.12396.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.26%9.26%9.26%
Growth Rate2.56%3.56%4.56%
Year 1 PV (M)90.6091.4892.36
Year 2 PV (M)132.95135.56138.19
Year 3 PV (M)169.77174.78179.90
Year 4 PV (M)201.57209.55217.76
Year 5 PV (M)228.84240.22252.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,866.804,059.014,258.80
Equity Value (M)4,690.534,910.605,139.05
Shares Outstanding (M)20.8420.8420.84
Fair Value$225.07$235.63$246.59
Upside / Downside477.98%505.10%533.25%

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