Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Cerillion Plc (CER.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.58 - $48.40$31.24
Multi-Stage$15.57 - $17.00$16.27
Blended Fair Value$23.76
Current Price$15.10
Upside57.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS22.62%0.00%0.140.120.100.080.060.050.050.040.040.01
YoY Growth--16.63%22.48%28.93%29.91%15.84%9.78%6.98%7.50%207.69%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.92%0.66%0.73%0.74%0.74%1.61%2.62%2.58%3.32%1.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.383.982.39
Cash Retained (M)24.2124.2124.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.38-3.98-2.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.8320.2221.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.6029.6029.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.600.680.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.600.680.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.860.941.00
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.58$31.24$48.40
Upside / Downside42.89%106.88%220.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.8833.9536.1638.5141.0143.6844.99
Payout Ratio24.07%37.26%50.44%63.63%76.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.6712.6518.2424.5031.5039.3141.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11.4211.5311.64
Year 2 PV (M)14.8715.1515.44
Year 3 PV (M)18.0418.5519.08
Year 4 PV (M)20.9421.7422.57
Year 5 PV (M)23.5924.7325.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)372.05390.02408.67
Equity Value (M)460.90481.72503.31
Shares Outstanding (M)29.6029.6029.60
Fair Value$15.57$16.27$17.00
Upside / Downside3.10%7.76%12.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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