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PT Bank BTPN Syariah Tbk (BTPS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,299.28 - $1,968.97$1,614.33
Multi-Stage$2,627.36 - $2,893.39$2,757.76
Blended Fair Value$2,186.05
Current Price$1,315.00
Upside66.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%68.1888.4258.6031.4342.620.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---22.89%50.88%86.46%-26.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.53%7.02%2.68%0.95%1.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,152,990.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)259,604.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)893,386.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)230,598.00144,123.7586,474.25
Cash Retained (M)893,386.00893,386.00893,386.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-230,598.00-144,123.75-86,474.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)662,788.00749,262.25806,911.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,703.407,703.407,703.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share86.0497.26104.75
LTM Dividend per Share33.7033.7033.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share86.0497.26104.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend119.74130.96138.45
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,299.28$1,614.33$1,968.97
Upside / Downside-1.20%22.76%49.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,152,990.001,141,460.101,130,045.501,118,745.041,107,557.591,096,482.021,129,376.48
Payout Ratio22.52%36.01%49.51%63.01%76.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)259,604.00411,069.19559,479.11704,879.72847,316.38986,833.821,044,673.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)380,184.51384,063.95387,943.38
Year 2 PV (M)478,567.14488,383.65498,299.81
Year 3 PV (M)557,639.49574,884.87592,482.18
Year 4 PV (M)619,959.91645,654.35672,139.32
Year 5 PV (M)667,792.48702,565.99738,773.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,535,472.0118,448,584.7319,399,345.69
Equity Value (M)20,239,615.5521,244,137.5322,288,983.62
Shares Outstanding (M)7,703.407,703.407,703.40
Fair Value$2,627.36$2,757.76$2,893.39
Upside / Downside99.80%109.72%120.03%

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