Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Borr Drilling Limited (BORR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas DrillingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.80 - $4.50$3.57
Multi-Stage$7.57 - $8.35$7.95
Blended Fair Value$5.76
Current Price$1.83
Upside214.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.270.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--12.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.069.415.65
Cash Retained (M)65.7265.7265.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.06-9.41-5.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.6656.3160.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)278.55278.55278.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.200.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.25
WACC / Discount Rate5.56%5.56%5.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.80$3.57$4.50
Upside / Downside53.26%95.16%145.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75.3074.5573.8073.0672.3371.6173.76
Payout Ratio12.72%28.18%43.63%59.09%74.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.5821.0132.2043.1753.9264.4568.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.56%5.56%5.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)19.7019.9020.10
Year 2 PV (M)28.3228.9029.49
Year 3 PV (M)35.6136.7137.83
Year 4 PV (M)41.7043.4345.21
Year 5 PV (M)46.7549.1851.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,935.402,036.182,141.12
Equity Value (M)2,107.472,214.302,325.46
Shares Outstanding (M)278.55278.55278.55
Fair Value$7.57$7.95$8.35
Upside / Downside313.44%334.39%356.20%

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