Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PT Bank Permata Tbk (BNLI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,235.63 - $20,138.82$9,271.47
Multi-Stage$2,255.44 - $2,466.99$2,359.28
Blended Fair Value$5,815.38
Current Price$5,950.00
Upside-2.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%18.02%25.0015.008.500.000.000.000.000.000.004.60
YoY Growth--66.67%76.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-3.60%
Dividend Yield--0.99%1.55%0.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,663,858.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,085,439.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,578,419.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)732,771.60457,982.25274,789.35
Cash Retained (M)2,578,419.002,578,419.002,578,419.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-732,771.60-457,982.25-274,789.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,845,647.402,120,436.752,303,629.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36,181.3536,181.3536,181.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share51.0158.6163.67
LTM Dividend per Share30.0030.0030.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share51.0158.6163.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend81.0188.6193.67
WACC / Discount Rate7.52%7.52%7.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,235.63$9,271.47$20,138.82
Upside / Downside-28.81%55.82%238.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,663,858.003,902,008.774,155,639.344,425,755.904,713,430.035,019,802.985,170,397.07
Payout Ratio29.63%41.70%53.78%65.85%77.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,085,439.001,627,155.612,234,709.392,914,370.443,672,945.774,517,822.684,782,617.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.52%7.52%7.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,499,172.361,513,382.521,527,592.69
Year 2 PV (M)1,896,994.241,933,126.651,969,599.93
Year 3 PV (M)2,279,356.152,344,788.272,411,460.78
Year 4 PV (M)2,646,698.252,748,482.802,853,175.26
Year 5 PV (M)2,999,449.643,144,324.183,294,743.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)70,283,103.4673,677,803.6377,202,426.98
Equity Value (M)81,604,774.0985,361,908.0689,258,999.04
Shares Outstanding (M)36,181.3536,181.3536,181.35
Fair Value$2,255.44$2,359.28$2,466.99
Upside / Downside-62.09%-60.35%-58.54%

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