Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

STIF S.a. (ALSTI.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$81.62 - $185.76$118.79
Multi-Stage$345.23 - $381.59$363.05
Blended Fair Value$240.92
Current Price$65.00
Upside270.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.200.170.160.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%14.32%7.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.532.201.32
Cash Retained (M)16.6716.6716.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.53-2.20-1.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.1414.4615.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.084.084.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.223.553.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.223.553.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.463.784.00
WACC / Discount Rate2.15%2.15%2.15%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$81.62$118.79$185.76
Upside / Downside25.58%82.75%185.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.6317.4617.2817.1116.9416.7717.27
Payout Ratio5.48%22.38%39.29%56.19%73.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.973.916.799.6112.3815.0915.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.15%2.15%2.15%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.793.823.86
Year 2 PV (M)6.386.516.64
Year 3 PV (M)8.759.029.29
Year 4 PV (M)10.9211.3711.84
Year 5 PV (M)12.8913.5714.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,365.041,436.121,510.13
Equity Value (M)1,407.761,480.401,556.03
Shares Outstanding (M)4.084.084.08
Fair Value$345.23$363.05$381.59
Upside / Downside431.13%458.53%487.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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