Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Delfingen Industry S.A. (ALDEL.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$244.64 - $599.33$561.66
Multi-Stage$87.34 - $95.58$91.38
Blended Fair Value$326.52
Current Price$23.20
Upside1,307.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.92%17.36%1.150.641.130.380.000.530.870.540.470.35
YoY Growth--78.96%-43.33%195.20%0.00%-100.00%-39.43%61.57%13.82%33.99%51.99%
Dividend Yield--7.81%1.30%2.54%0.80%0.00%2.66%4.57%1.33%1.58%1.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.570.980.59
Cash Retained (M)4.874.874.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.57-0.98-0.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.293.884.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.612.612.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.261.491.64
LTM Dividend per Share1.151.151.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.261.491.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.412.642.79
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$244.64$561.66$599.33
Upside / Downside954.49%2,320.95%2,483.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.868.378.919.4910.1110.7711.09
Payout Ratio38.10%48.48%58.86%69.24%79.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.994.065.256.578.059.6910.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.773.813.84
Year 2 PV (M)4.544.624.71
Year 3 PV (M)5.285.445.59
Year 4 PV (M)6.026.256.49
Year 5 PV (M)6.737.067.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)201.41211.14221.24
Equity Value (M)227.76238.32249.27
Shares Outstanding (M)2.612.612.61
Fair Value$87.34$91.38$95.58
Upside / Downside276.45%293.90%312.00%

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