Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General TransportationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.01 - $1.50$1.24
Multi-Stage$1.86 - $2.05$1.95
Blended Fair Value$1.60
Current Price$12.47
Upside-87.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023
DPS0.00%0.00%0.040.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--55.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.06%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.921.200.72
Cash Retained (M)7.537.537.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.92-1.20-0.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.616.336.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)77.4877.4877.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.01$1.24$1.50
Upside / Downside-91.94%-90.06%-88.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.619.529.429.339.239.149.41
Payout Ratio21.66%35.33%49.00%62.66%76.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.083.364.625.847.058.238.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.093.123.15
Year 2 PV (M)3.903.984.06
Year 3 PV (M)4.544.684.82
Year 4 PV (M)5.035.245.46
Year 5 PV (M)5.405.685.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)122.39128.76135.40
Equity Value (M)144.36151.47158.87
Shares Outstanding (M)77.4877.4877.48
Fair Value$1.86$1.95$2.05
Upside / Downside-85.06%-84.32%-83.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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