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Academy Of Learning Company (9541.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Education & Training ServicesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.00 - $7.69$6.25
Multi-Stage$11.35 - $12.47$11.90
Blended Fair Value$9.07
Current Price$9.50
Upside-4.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.100.230.100.040.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---57.14%133.33%172.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.10%3.66%3.62%1.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.966.223.73
Cash Retained (M)10.8010.8010.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.96-6.22-3.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.844.577.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)90.6990.6990.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.050.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.050.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.00$6.25$7.69
Upside / Downside-47.35%-34.18%-19.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49.8049.3048.8048.3247.8347.3548.78
Payout Ratio78.32%80.66%82.99%85.33%87.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.0039.7640.5041.2341.9342.6245.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)36.9237.3037.67
Year 2 PV (M)34.9235.6436.36
Year 3 PV (M)33.0134.0335.07
Year 4 PV (M)31.1732.4633.80
Year 5 PV (M)29.4230.9532.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)863.45908.41955.23
Equity Value (M)1,028.891,078.791,130.68
Shares Outstanding (M)90.6990.6990.69
Fair Value$11.35$11.90$12.47
Upside / Downside19.43%25.22%31.24%

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