Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bonny Worldwide Limited (8467.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$123.05 - $193.18$155.24
Multi-Stage$246.75 - $271.76$259.01
Blended Fair Value$207.13
Current Price$173.00
Upside19.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.002.821.880.471.882.351.411.451.991.58
YoY Growth---100.00%50.00%300.00%-75.00%-20.00%66.67%-2.61%-27.15%25.93%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.46%3.16%1.24%4.03%5.94%4.04%4.53%5.07%2.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)659.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)556.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)131.9582.4749.48
Cash Retained (M)556.11556.11556.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-131.95-82.47-49.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)424.15473.64506.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)52.6052.6052.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.069.009.63
LTM Dividend per Share1.971.971.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.069.009.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.0310.9711.60
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Fair Value$123.05$155.24$193.18
Upside / Downside-28.87%-10.26%11.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)659.77657.54655.31653.10650.88648.68668.14
Payout Ratio15.71%30.57%45.43%60.28%75.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.66201.01297.69393.72489.09583.81618.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate-1.34%-0.34%0.66%
Year 1 PV (M)186.48188.37190.26
Year 2 PV (M)256.22261.45266.72
Year 3 PV (M)314.39324.05333.90
Year 4 PV (M)362.33377.24392.61
Year 5 PV (M)401.25422.00443.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,459.4312,052.0712,668.97
Equity Value (M)12,980.1113,625.1814,296.07
Shares Outstanding (M)52.6052.6052.60
Fair Value$246.75$259.01$271.76
Upside / Downside42.63%49.72%57.09%

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