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Advanced Power Electronics Co., Ltd. (8261.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$106.41 - $258.21$158.19
Multi-Stage$103.54 - $113.30$108.33
Blended Fair Value$133.26
Current Price$81.40
Upside63.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.36%0.00%2.484.934.100.680.340.680.310.480.690.61
YoY Growth---49.77%20.21%500.00%100.00%-50.00%122.28%-35.67%-30.27%12.25%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.07%5.54%3.94%0.62%0.58%3.84%1.05%1.77%2.44%2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)594.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)294.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)299.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)118.8374.2744.56
Cash Retained (M)299.46299.46299.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-118.83-74.27-44.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)180.63225.19254.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)119.06119.06119.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.521.892.14
LTM Dividend per Share2.482.482.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.521.892.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.994.374.62
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Fair Value$106.41$158.19$258.21
Upside / Downside30.73%94.34%217.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)594.17621.79650.70680.95712.61745.74768.11
Payout Ratio49.60%57.68%65.76%73.84%81.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)294.70358.65427.90502.81583.77671.17710.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Year 1 PV (M)330.32333.51336.69
Year 2 PV (M)362.97370.01377.12
Year 3 PV (M)392.84404.32416.02
Year 4 PV (M)420.06436.51453.44
Year 5 PV (M)444.81466.68489.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,376.3510,886.6511,416.84
Equity Value (M)12,327.3512,897.6813,489.52
Shares Outstanding (M)119.06119.06119.06
Fair Value$103.54$108.33$113.30
Upside / Downside27.20%33.08%39.19%

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